Welcome
Researching machine learning, finance, policy, and climate change.
Twitter: @johnjnay
Publications on machine learning
applied to climate change:
- Climate-contingent finance
- Computational simulation modeling of trader behavior in climate prediction markets
- Machine-learning approach to forecasting remotely sensed vegetation health
- Application of machine learning to prediction of vegetation health
- Decision-support computational models for climate change adaptation
- Empirically-grounded simulation model of impact of climate forecasts on agricultural income
- Agent-based simulation model of the influence of climate forecast accuracy on farmer behavior
- Participatory simulation modeling of urban flooding for decision support
- Modeling agricultural response to drought in the U.S.
- Hierarchical Bayesian modeling of urban water policy
- Qualitative and quantitative analysis of drought, risk, and politics
Publications on machine learning
applied to policy:
- Natural language processing and machine learning for law & policy
- Predicting law-making with machine learning
- Natural language processing of presidential documents, with a deep dive on environmental policy
- Gov2Vec: Machine learning distributed representations of government institutions
- Deriving the market’s political predictions with policy impact indices constructed with machine learning
- The big shift: From monetary to fiscal policy
Publications on machine learning
applied to decision-making:
- Generalizability: Machine learning and humans-in-the-loop for decision systems
- Predicting human cooperation with machine learning
- Automatically estimating models of decision-making with machine learning
Open-source software
packages:
- datafsm: Estimating Decision-making Models with Machine Learning
- forecastVeg: Forecasting Vegetation Health with Machine Learning
- predMarket: A Climate Prediction Market Simulation Model
- sa: Sensitivity Analysis for Complex Computational Models
- eat: Empirical Agent Training Software for Data-Driven Modeling
- agp: Agent Gentic Programming Software for Data-Driven Modeling
Coverage of some of my research in Science.